Search This Blog

Showing posts with label control of Congress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label control of Congress. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

GOP's New House Rules A Good Start

The Politico reports on the unveiling of the new rules the GOP will be implementing for the House of Representatives come January when they take control from Democrats and John Boehner presumably takes the gavel from Nancy Pelosi.

Transparency and forcing legislatures to assume responsibility for their votes as well as cutting spending and making sure any new spending is offset without raising taxes to pay for it, seems to be the direction the newly unveiled rules are heading.

All promises made to voters and ones that Boehner and the GOP seem intent on keeping.


The new House Republican majority will force lawmakers to vote when they want to raise the nation's debt ceiling, publish committee attendance records, ban former members from lobbying in the House gym and require new mandatory spending to be offset by cuts to other programs.


Changes to House rules are the first step the newly empowered GOP will take to address the concerns of a lack of transparency that has been seen in the House of Representatives as well as the concerns of voters who expect the GOP to keep the promises made to elect them back into power.

"These reforms represent Republicans' first step in keeping the promises we outlined in the Pledge to America to change the way Washington works and address the people’s priorities: creating jobs and cutting spending,” Speaker-designate John Boehner (R-Ohio) said in a statement issued with the summary.


With all the news and one Democrat having admitted that he didn't even read the full text of the Obamacare health law before they passed it, along partisan party lines, the GOP will implement committee and House rules that will address that issue as well.

"[I]t shall not be in order to consider a bill or joint resolution which has not been reported by a committee until the third calendar day … on which such measure has been publicly available in electronic form,” reads one new rule.


On spending, Republicans unveil a CUT/GO rule in place of the failed PAY/GO the Democrats implemented then never even tried to enforce or abide by.

On the spending front, Republicans plan to implement a series of rules called CUT/GO — a conservative answer to the PAY/GO rules instituted by Democrats. Under CUT/GO, increases in mandatory spending would have to be offset by spending cuts in other programs. Mandatory spending refers to the autopilot portion of the budget covering Social Security, Medicare and other programs designed to make payouts based on eligibility criteria rather than a set dollar figure each year.

Under CUT/GO, offsets could not be achieved by raising taxes, according to the summary.


There are some other changes but these appear to be the major first steps in keeping the campaign promises that Republicans across the country made to constituents to be allowed another chance at controlling the House of Representatives.

It is a good start and it seems they are making sure to publicly acknowledge the need to keep those vows and are intensely aware that they are being watched by voters and are expected to do things differently than Democrats have been doing in the four years they have controlled both house's of Congress.

.

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Republican Ann Marie Buerkle The First Woman To Represent New York's 25th District

The count just went up for Republicans in the House of Representatives to 63 net seats gained, the largest turnover from Democratic to Republican seats in over 70 years in a midterm election which handed control of the House to Republicans.

A sixth Democratic House seat in New York fell to Republicans on Tuesday when freshman incumbent Dan Maffei conceded he could not overcome his opponent's narrow lead.

The Republican, Ann Marie Buerkle, will be the first woman to represent central New York's 25th Congressional District.

Maffei, who defeated Dale Sweetland to win the seat in 2008, called Buerkle to concede Tuesday, ending three weeks of ballot inspections, recounting and court wrangling.

"I want to thank him for doing what is in the best interests of the district," she told the Syracuse Post Standard. They agreed to work together for a "seamless transition."


Until the newly elected Representatives take over in January, Democrats still hold control of the House of Representatives during the lame duck session.

More about a Gallup poll of Americans telling Congress what their priorities are for the lame duck session in a previous post.

.

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Illinois 8th District- Republicans Pick Up Another House Seat

The votes have been tallied in one of the House races that had yet to be called and the Tea Party backed Republican Joe Walsh wins an upset over three-term sitting Democratic Representative Melissa Bean.

Bean conceded after the absentee and provisional ballots were counted and she fell short by 291 votes out of more than 200,000 cast.

The Hill and Chicago Sun Times.

This gives Republicans over 60 seats gained in the House of Representatives in the midterm elections from November 2, 2010.

.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

The Morning After A Tsunami.: Messages, Understanding And Exit Polls

There were massive gains for the GOP in the House of Representatives where Republicans won control and gains in the Senate but control still is held by Democrats. The GOP has also gained at least16 legislative chambers. (Some sources say more)

The biggest thing to celebrate is the gavel has been ripped out of Nancy Pelosi's hands, as of January, when Republicans fully take control of the House of Representatives, Pelosi will no longer be Speaker of the House.

With that said, while there is much to celebrate, there were some deep disappointments for Republicans, such as Harry Reid keeping his Senate seat and the position of Senate Majority Leader.

Let us start with the good news. While a few races have still not been called for the House, listed below, the GOP saw gains that have not been seen since 1948. This has been the biggest sweep in decades and a clear message to the current Obama administration.

House Races not called yet and status as of 11/3 12:22 PM ET:

Arizona District 7- Raul Grijalva (D) 49% / Ruth McClung (R) 46%
Arizona District 8- Gabrielle Giffords (D) 49% / Jesse Kelly (R) 48%
California District 11- David Harmer (R) 47% / Jerry McNerney (D) 47%
California District 20- Andy Vidak (R) 51% / Jim Costa (D) 49%
Georgia District 2- Sanford Bishop (D) 51% / Mike Keown (R) 49%
Illinois District 8- Joe Walsh (R) 49% / Melissa Bean (D) 48%
Kentucky District 6- Ben Chandler (D) 50% / Andy Barr (R) 50%
Michigan District 9- Gary Peters (D) 49% / Rocky Raczkowski (R) 48%
Texas District 27- Blake Farenthold (R) 48% / Solomon Ortiz (D) 47%
Washington District 9- Adam Smith (D) 18% / Dick Muri (R) 16%

Until all these races are decided and called, the amount of House seats the GOP gained cannot be figured, but with the races that have already been called, the GOP has netted a gain of over 60 seats.

The largest gain for any party since 1948.

Senate Races not called as of 11/3 12:22 PM ET:

Alaska- Lisa Murkowsky (I) 41% / Joe Miller (R) 34% / Scott McAdams (D) 24%
Colorado- Michael Bennet (D) 47 % - 771,939 Votes/ Ken Buck (R) 47% - 766,371 Votes
Washington- Patty Murray (D) 50%- 722,396 Votes/ Dino Rossi (R) 50% -708,391 Votes

The Morning After

John Boehner, the presumed new Speaker of the House, gave his speech last night regarding the GOP takeover of the House of Representatives. Text of speech below, courtesy of Examiner.

Let me just say this, it's clear tonight who the winners really are. And that's the American people. It's the American people's voice that was heard at the ballot box - the American people's voice. And listen, I'm going to be brief because we've got real work to do; and frankly, this is not a time for celebration.

Not when one out of ten of our fellow citizens is out of work, not when we've buried our children under a mountain of debt, not when our congress is held in such low esteem.This is a time to roll up our sleeves- a time to look forward with determination and to take the first step towards building a future for our kids and our grand kids.

Across the country right now, we are witnessing a repudiation of Washington, a repudiation of big government, and a repudiation of politicians who refuse to listen to the American people. Of course this campaign is not over yet; to the folks out West where the polls may still be open. - and this is a time to seize that moment and make sure your voice is heard - to reject the spending sprees, the bail-outs, the back room deals and all that nonsense and to join your fellow Americans in putting Washington on notice. Because for far too long, Washington’s been doing what’s best for Washington, not what’s best for the American people. And tonight, that begins to change.

With their voices, the America people are demanding a new way forward in Washington. I'm here to tell you, tonight, that our new majority will be prepared to do things differently - to take a new approach that hasn't been tried in Washington before - or by either party.

It starts with cutting spending, instead of increasing it; reducing the size of government, instead of increasing it; and reforming the way congress works and giving the government back to the American people. And for all those families who were asking, 'Where are the jobs?', it means ending the uncertainty in our economy and helping small businesses get back to work.

The people's priorities will be our priorities; and the people's agenda will be our agenda. This is our pledge to American and this is our pledge to you. While our new majority will serve as your voice in the People's House, we must remember it's the president who sets the agenda for our government.

The American people have sent an unmistakable message to him tonight, and that message is - change course. We hope President Obama will now respect the will of the people, change course and commit to making changes that they are demanding. And to the extent that he's willing to do that, we're ready to work with him.

But make no mistake, the president will find in our new majority the voice of the American people as they have expressed it tonight. Standing on our principles, checking Washington's power and leading the drive to a smaller, last costly and more accountable government here in Washington, DC.

These are the principles our new majority will stand for and we hope that Mr. President, you'll stand with us in the hard work that lies ahead. Because we are humbled by the trust that the American people have placed in us, and we recognize that with this trust comes the responsibility to listen, and listen we will.

Let's start right now by recognizing that this is not a time for celebration but a time to roll up our sleeves and go to work. We can celebrate when small businesses begin hiring again. We can celebrate when a spending binge here in Washington has stopped. And we can celebrate when we have a government that has earned the trust of the people that it serves. When we have a government that honors the Constitution and stands up for the values that have made America - America - things like economic freedom, individual liberty and personal responsibility.

Listen, I hold these values dear because I've lived them. I spent my whole life, chasing the American Dream. Alright. Listen, I've let a lot of you know, I started out mopping floors, waiting tables and tending bar in my dad's tavern. I put my, myself through school working every rotten job there was and every night shift I could find. And I poured my heart and soul into running a small business. And when I saw how out of touch Washington had become with core values of this great nation, I put my name forward and ran for office.

So I'm going to thank my wife, Debby, my girls Lindsey and Tricia and my eleven brothers and sisters and all my friends and neighbors in Ohio for giving me the chance to serve and the opportunity to stand before you - ready to lead. Thank all of you. God bless you and God bless our great country.

Emphasis mine.

Republicans need to remember those words carefully. While polls should never be a be-all-end-all determining factor, a polling pattern showing a majority of Americans want something or are totally opposed to something, should matter, should be heeded, because politicians are elected with the presumption that they will represent us, their constituents.

That is something Washington politicians have forgotten and hopefully last night's election has brought that front and center.

Barack Obama will be making a speech shortly and his tone will be a very good indicator of how the next two years play out and whether he understands the message that was sent last night.

Republicans need to make their case to the American people with every piece of legislation and make sure the majority of Americans is on board with what they pass through the House.

If they do so, and the Democratically controlled Senate or Barack Obama stands in the way, by not voting, or voting along partisan lines to reject such legislation or in Obama's case, vetoes legislation that Americans want... then 2012 will be just as brutal for Democrats.

If Republicans forget why they were given this second chance, 2012 will be just as brutal for the GOP..

Evan Bayh, a Democratic Senator from Indiana, who is retiring from the Senate in January, wrote an op-ed in the New York Times, where he stated the problems as he saw them and continued on to discuss how to move forward for the Democratic party.

It is clear that Democrats over-interpreted our mandate. Talk of a “political realignment” and a “new progressive era” proved wishful thinking. Exit polls in 2008 showed that 22 percent of voters identified themselves as liberals, 32 percent as conservatives and 44 percent as moderates. An electorate that is 76 percent moderate to conservative was not crying out for a move to the left.

We also overreached by focusing on health care rather than job creation during a severe recession. It was a noble aspiration, but $1 trillion in new spending and a major entitlement expansion are best attempted when the Treasury is flush and the economy strong, hardly our situation today.

And we were too deferential to our most zealous supporters. During election season, Congress sought to placate those on the extreme left and motivate the base — but that meant that our final efforts before the election focused on trying to allow gays in the military, change our immigration system and repeal the George W. Bush-era tax cuts. These are legitimate issues but unlikely to resonate with moderate swing voters in a season of economic discontent.

Exit Polls Tell The Story:

CBS:

Just 45 percent approve of the job Mr. Obama is doing as president in these preliminary exit polls, while 54 percent disapprove. Congress receives an approval rating of just 25 percent, while 73 percent say they disapprove of the job Congress is doing.

More than 62 percent of voters cite the economy as the most important issue right now -- significantly overshadowing any other issue. As many as 88 percent say the economy is in bad shape, while more than 86 percent are worried about the direction the economy will take in the next year. Four in 10 voters say they are worse off financially than they were two years ago.

Just 35 percent say the country is headed in the right direction, and 62 percent said it is on the wrong track.


You can see state by state exit polls at CNN election Center.

Exit Polls On Obamacare

Forty-eight percent support canceling the changes that the Obama administration and Congress made to the health care system. Thirty-one percent say they want the new health care law expanded, and just 16 percent say they want to leave the laws as is. (Wapo)


Rasmussen:

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of those who voted in today’s elections nationwide favor repeal of the national health care bill passed by congressional Democrats in March, including 48% who Strongly Favor it.

Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying nationwide after the polls closed found that 40% are opposed to repeal, with 32% who Strongly Oppose it.

Will Obama Understand The Message Americans Sent?

According to an article in The Politico, some think a shakeup of the Obama administration is in order and some believe Barack Obama will take heed of the message that was sent, while others see indications that Obama had ear plugs in last night and did not hear the message.

Obama has had weeks to brace for the worst, unlike Clinton, who was blindsided by the ’94 results. But some of Obama’s allies fear he will take Tuesday’s results too much in stride. That perception was fueled by Axelrod, who told a gathering of Democrats earlier this week that he didn’t interpret Tuesday’s expected debacle as a rejection of the president.

“I’m not sure [Obama] gets it yet,” said one person close to the president.

It Is Still 2010, The New Majority Is Not In Control Yet

Whether Barack Obama, the Democratically controlled Senate and the newly taken over House of Representatives, all get along, find common ground and are able to work together is something we will not know until January 2011.

Until then we have a Democratically controlled House, Senate and White House, during a lame duck session and Republicans may have the fight of a lifetime on their hands in keeping any major controversial legislation from passing along straight party line votes.

Should Democrats attempt jamming controversial legislation through congress, then Barack Obama should refuse to sign it because as last night should have taught him clearly, voters will remember and his 2012 reelection bid will be on the line here.

(Addition information was added to this post)

.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging

Page #2- Senate Seats In Play
Page #3- Election Day 2010- Interesting Links
Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


These three posts with all day live coverage will be on top all day.

Wake up America will be keeping an eye on the results throughout the evening and they will be posted at this link, continuously updated.

The House of Representatives, the Senate and the White House is all controlled by Democrats and the stakes are high for the midterm 2010 elections.

Tonight will tell whether the American voters prefer to have checks and balances to stop any one party's agenda from becoming laws of the land or whether the American voters feel America is on the right track and wish to leave control in the hands of the Democrats.

Extensive polling leading up to election day 2010 has indicated a massive wave for the GOP in the House to take control and modest wins in the Senate where only about of a third of the seat are even part of the election, making it unlikely the GOP will take control of the Senate.

Polls are fine indicators, but the final poll, the only poll that matters or is counted, is today's vote, the election itself.

Change of format folks. -Click here for House results as precincts report, continuously updated so keep refreshing.

Will continue to update as we see races being called in favor of a certain candidate.

Projected winners so far are :


Alabama District 1- Jo Bonner (R)
Alabama District 2- Martha Roby (R)
Alabama District 3- Mike Rogers (R)
Alabama District 4- Robert Aderholt (R)
Alabama District 5- Mo Brooks (R)
Alabama District 6- Spencer Bachus (R)
Alabama District 7- Terri Sewell (D)

Alaska District 1- Don Young (R)

Arkansas District 1-Rick Crawford (R)
Arkansas District 2-Tim Griffin (R)
Arkansas District 3- Steve Womack (R)
Arkansas District 4- Mike Ross (D)

Arizona District 1- Paul Gosar (R)
Arizona District 2- Trent Franks (R)
Arizona District 3- Ben Quayle (R)
Arizona District 4- Ed Pastor (D)
Arizona District 5- David Schweikert (R)
Arizona District 6- Jeff Flake (R)
Arizona District 7-
Arizona District 8-

California District 1- Mike Thompson (D)
California District 2- Wally Herger (R)
California District 3- Dan Lungren (R)
California District 4-Tom McClintock (R)
California District 5- Doris Matsui (D)
California District 6- Lynn Woolsey (D)
California District 7- George Miller (D)
California District 8- Nancy Pelosi (D)
California District 9- Barbara Lee (D)
California District 10- John Garamendi (D)
California District 11
California District 12- Jackie Speier (D)
California District 13- Pete Stark (D)
California District 14- Anna Eshoo (D)
California District 15- Mike Honda (D)
California District 16- Zoe Lofgren (D)
California District 17- Sam Farr (D)
California District 18- Dennis Cardoza (D)
California District 19- Jeff Denham (R)
California District 20
California District 21- Devin Nunes (R)
California District 22- Kevin McCarthy (R)
California District 23- Lois Capps (D)
California District 24- Elton Gallegly (R)
California District 25- Buck McKeon (R)
California District 26- David Dreier (R)
California District 27- Brad Sherman (D)
California District 28- Howard Berman (D)
California District 29- Adam Schiff (D)
California District 30- Henry Waxman (D)
California District 31- Xavier Bacerra (D)
California District 32- Judy Chu (D)
California District 33- Karen Bass (D)
California District 34- Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)
California District 35- Maxine Waters (D)
California District 36- Jane Harman (D)
California District 37- Laura Richardson (D)
California District 38- Grace Napalitano (D)
California District 39- Linda Sanchez (D)
California District 40- Ed Royce (R)
California District 41- Jerry Lewis (R)
California District 42- Gary Miller (R)
California District 43- Joe Baca (D)
California District 44 - Ken Calvert (R)
California District 45- Mary Bono Mack (R)
California District 46- Dan Rohrabacher (R)
California District 47- Loretta Sanchez (D)
California District 48- John Campbell (R)
California District 49- Darrell Issa (R)
California District 50- Brian Bilbray (R)
California District 51- Bob Filner (D)
California District 52- Duncan D. Hunter (R)
California District 53- Susan Davis (D)


Colorado District 1- Diana DiGette (D)
Colorado District 2- Jared Polis (D)
Colorado District 3- Scott Tipton (R)
Colorado District 4- Cory Gardner (R)
Colorado District 5- Doug Lamborn (R)
Colorado District 6- Mike Coffman (R)
Colorado District 7- Ed Perlmutter (D)

Connecticut District 1- John Larson (D)
Connecticut District 2-Joe Courtney (D)
Connecticut District 3- Rosa DeLauro (D)
Connecticut District 4- Jim Himes (D)
Connecticut District 5- Chris Murphy (D)

Delaware District 1- John Carney (D)

Florida District 1- Jeff Miller (R)
Florida District 2- Steve Southerland (R)
Florida District 3- Corrine Brown (D)
Florida District 4 - Ander Crenshaw
Florida District 5- Richard Nugent (R)
Florida District 6 - Cliff Stearns (R)
Florida District 7- John Mica (R)
Florida District 8- Daniel Webster (R)
Florida District 9- Gus Bilirakis (R)
Florida District 10- Bill Young (R)
Florida District 11-Kathy Castor (D)
Florida District 12-Dennis Ross (R)
Florida District 13-Vern Buchanan (R)
Florida District 14-Connie Mack (R)
Florida District 15- Bill Posey (R)
Florida District 16- Tom Rooney (R)
Florida District 17- Frederica Wilson (D)
Florida District 18- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)
Florida District 19- Ted Deutch (D)
Florida District 20- Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
Florida District 21- Mario Diaz-Balart (R)
Florida District 22- Allen West (R)
Florida District 23-Alcee Hastings (D)
Florida District 24- Sandra Adams (R)


Georgia District 1- Jack Kingston (R)
Georgia District 2-
Georgia District 3- Lynn Westmoreland (R)
Georgia District 4- Hank Johnson (D)
Georgia District 5- John Lewis (D)
Georgia District 6- Tom Price (R)
Georgia District 7- Rob Woodall (R)
Georgia District 8- Austin Scott (R)
Georgia District 9- Tom Graves (R)
Georgia District 10- Paul Broun (R)
Georgia District 11- Phil Gingrey (R)
Georgia District 12- John Barrow (D)
Georgia District 13- David Scott (D)

Hawaii District 1- Colleen Hanabusa (D)
Hawaii District 2- Mazie Hirono (D)

Iowa District 1- Bruce Braley (D)
Iowa District 2- Dave Loebsack (D)
Iowa District 3- Leonard Boswell (D)
Iowa District 4- Tom Latham (R)
Iowa District 5- Steve King (R)

Idaho District 1- Raul Labrador (R)
Idaho District 2- Mike Simpson (R)

Illinois District 1- Bobby Rush (D)
Illinois District 2- Jesse Jackson (D)
Illinois District 3- Daniel Lipinski (D)
Illinois District 4- Luis Gutierrez (D)
Illinois District 5- Mike Quigley (D)
Illinois District 6- Peter Roskam (R)
Illinois District 7- Danny Davis (D)
Illinois District 8-
Illinois District 9- Jan Schakowsky (D)
Illinois District 10-Robert Dold (R)
Illinois District 11-Adam Kinzinger (R)
Illinois District 12-Jerry Costello (D)
Illinois District 13-Judy Biggert (R)
Illinois District 14-Randy Hultgren (R)
Illinois District 15-Tim Johnson (R)
Illinois District 16-Donald Manzullo (R)
Illinois District 17-Bobby Schilling (R)
Illinois District 18-Aaron Schock (R)
Illinois District 19-John Shimkus (R)

Indiana District 1- Peter Visclosky (D)
Indiana District 2- Joe Donnelly (D)
Indiana District 3- Marlin Stutzman (R)
Indiana District 4- Todd Rokita (R)

Indiana District 5- Dan Burton (R)
Indiana District 6- Mike Pence (R)
Indiana District 7- Andre Carson (D)
Indiana District 8- Larry Bucshon (R)
Indiana District 9- Todd Young (R)

Kansas District 1- Tim Huelskamp (R)
Kansas District 2- Lynn Jenkins (R)
Kansas District 3- Kevin Yoder (R)
Kansas District 4- Mike Pompeo (R)

Kentucky District 1- Ed Whitfield (R)
Kentucky District 2- Brett Guthrie (R)
Kentucky District 3- John Yarmuth (D)
Kentucky District 4- Geoff Davis (R)
Kentucky District 5- Hal Rogers (R)
Kentucky District 6-

Louisiana District 1- Steve Scalise (R)
Louisiana District 2- Cedric Richmond (D)
Louisiana District 3- Jeff Landry (R)
Louisiana District 4- John Fleming (R)
Louisiana District 5- Rodney Alexander (R)
Louisiana District 6- Bill Cassidy (R)
Louisiana District 7- Charles Boustany (R)

Mass District 1- John Olver (D)
Mass District 2- Richard Neal (D)
Mass District 3- Jim McGovern (D)
Mass District 4- Barney Frank (D)
Mass District 5- Niki Tsongas (D)
Mass District 6- John Tierney (D)
Mass District 7- Ed Markey (D)
Mass District 8- Mike Capuano (D)
Mass District 9- Stephen Lynch (D)
Mass District 10- Bill Keating (D)

Maryland District 1- Andy Harris (R)
Maryland District 2- Dutch Ruppersberger (D)
Maryland District 3- John Sarbanes (D)
Maryland District 4- Donna Edwards (D)
Maryland District 5- Steny Hoyer (D)
Maryland District 6- Roscoe Bartlett (R)
Maryland District 7- Elijah Cummings (D)
Maryland District 8- Chris Van Hollen (D)

Maine District 1- Chellie Pingree (D)
Maine District 2- Mike Michaud (D)

Michigan District 1- Dan Benishek (R)
Michigan District 2- Bill Huizenga (R)
Michigan District 3- Justin Amash (R)
Michigan District 4- Dave Camp (R)
Michigan District 5- Dale Kildee (D)
Michigan District 6- Fred Upton (R)
Michigan District 7- Tim Walberg (R)
Michigan District 8- Mike Rogers (R)
Michigan District 9-
Michigan District 10- Candice Miller (R)
Michigan District 11- Thaddeus McCotter (R)
Michigan District 12- Sander Levin (D)
Michigan District 13- Hansen Clarke (D)
Michigan District 14- John Conyers (D)
Michigan District 15- John Dingell (D)

Minnesota District 1- Tim Walz (D)
Minnesota District 2- John Kline (R)
Minnesota District 3-Erik Paulsen (R)
Minnesota District 4- Betty McCollum (D)
Minnesota District 5- Keith Ellison (D)
Minnesota District 6- Michelle Bachmann (R)
Minnesota District 7- Collin Peterson (D)
Minnesota District 8- Chip Cravaack (R)

Missouri District 1- Lacy Clay (D)
Missouri District 2- Todd Akin (R)
Missouri District 3- Russ Carnahan (D)
Missouri District 4- Vicky Hartzler (R)
Missouri District 5- Emanuel Cleaver (D)
Missouri District 6- Sam Graves (R)
Missouri District 7- Billy Long (R)
Missouri District 8- Jo Ann Emerson (R)
Missouri District 9- Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)

Mississippi District 1- Alan Nunnelee (R)
Mississippi District 2- Bennie Thompson (D)
Mississippi District 3- Gregg Harper (R)
Mississippi District 4- Steve Palazzo (R)

Montana District 1- Denny Rehberg (R)

North Carolina District 1- G.K. Butterfield (D)
North Carolina District 2- Renee Ellmers (R)
North Carolina District 3- Walter Jones (R)
North Carolina District 4- David Price (D)
North Carolina District 5- Virginia Foxx (R)
North Carolina District 6- Howard Coble (R)
North Carolina District 7- Mike McIntyre (D)
North Carolina District 8- Larry Kissell (D)
North Carolina District 9- Sue Myrick (R)
North Carolina District 10- Patrick McHenry (R)
North Carolina District 11- Heath Shuler (D)
North Carolina District 12- Mel Watt (D)
North Carolina District 13- Brad Miller (D)

North Dakota District 1- Rick Berg (R)

Nebraska District 1- Jeff Fortenberry (R)
Nebraska District 2- Lee Terry (R)
Nebraska District 3- Adrian Smith (R)

New Hampshire District 1- Frank Guinta (R)
New Hampshire District 2- Charlie Bass (R)

New Jersey District 1- Robert Andrews (D)
New Jersey District 2- Frank LoBiondo (R)
New Jersey District 3- John Runyan (R)
New Jersey District 4- Chris Smith (R)
New Jersey District 5- Scott Garrett (R)
New Jersey District 6- Frank Pallone (D)
New Jersey District 7- Leonard Lance (R)
New Jersey District 8- Bill Pascrell (D)
New Jersey District 9- Steve Rothman (D)
New Jersey District 10- Donald Payne (D)
New Jersey District 11- Rodney Frehlinghuysen (R)
New Jersey District 12- Rush Holt (D)
New Jersey District 13- Albio Sires (D)

New Mexico District 1- Martin Heinrich (D)
New Mexico District 2- Steve Pearce (R)
New Mexico District 3- Ben R. Lujan (D)

Nevada District 1- Shelley Berkley (D)
Nevada District 2- Dean Heller (R)
Nevada District 3- Joe Heck (R)

New York District 1- Timothy Bishop (D)
New York District 2- Steve Israel (D)
New York District 3- Peter King (R)
New York District 4- Carolyn McCarthy (D)
New York District 5- Gary Ackerman (D)
New York District 6- Gregory Meeks (D)
New York District 7- Joseph Crowley (D)
New York District 8- Jerrold Nadler (D)
New York District 9- Anthony Weiner (D)
New York District 10- Edolphus Towns (D)
New York District 11- Yvette Clarke (D)
New York District 12- Nydia Velazquez (D)
New York District 13- Mike Grimm (R)
New York District 14- Carolyn Maloney (D)
New York District 15-Charles Rangel (D)
New York District 16- Jose E. Serrano (D)
New York District 17- Eliot Engel (D)
New York District 18- Nita Lowey (D)
New York District 19- Nan Hayworth (R)
New York District 20- Christopher Gibson (R)
New York District 21- Paul Tonko (D)
New York District 22- Maurice Hinchey (D)
New York District 23- Bill Owens (D)
New York District 24- Richard Hanna (R)
New York District 25- Daniel Maffei (D)
New York District 26- Christopher Lee (R)
New York District 27- Brian Higgins (D)
New York District 28- Louise Slaughter (D)
New York District 29- Thomas Reed (R)

Ohio District 1- Steve Chabot (R)
Ohio District 2- Jean Schmidt (R)
Ohio District 3- Mike Turner (R)
Ohio District 4- Jim Jordan (R)
Ohio District 5- Bob Latta (R)
Ohio District 6- Bill Johnson (R)
Ohio District 7- Steve Austria (R)
Ohio District 8- John Boehner (R)
Ohio District 9- Marcy Kaptur (D)

Ohio District 10- Dennis Kucinich (D)
Ohio District 11- Marcia Fudge (D)
Ohio District 12- Pat Tiberi (R)
Ohio District 13- Betty Sutton (D)
Ohio District 14- Steve LaTourrette (R)
Ohio District 15- Steve Stivers (R)
Ohio District 16- Jim Renacci (R)
Ohio District 17- Timothy Ryan (D)
Ohio District 18- Bob Gibbs (R)

Oklahoma District 1- John Sullivan (R)
Oklahoma District 2- Dan Boren (D)
Oklahoma District 3- Frank Lucas (R)
Oklahoma District 4- Tom Cole (R)
Oklahoma District 5- James Lankford (R)

Oregon District 1- David Wu (D)
Oregon District 2- Greg Walden (R)
Oregon District 3- Earl Blumenauer (D)
Oregon District 4- Peter DeFazio (D)
Oregon District 5- Kurt Schrader (D)


Pennsylvania District 1- Robert Brady (D)
Pennsylvania District 2- Chaka Fattah (D)
Pennsylvania District 3- Mike Kelly (R)
Pennsylvania District 4-Jason Altmire (D)
Pennsylvania District 5- Glenn Thompson (R)
Pennsylvania District 6- Jim Gerlach (R)
Pennsylvania District 7- Patrick Meehan (R)
Pennsylvania District 8- Michael Fitzpatrick (R)
Pennsylvania District 9- Bill Shuster (R)
Pennsylvania District 10- Thomas Marino (R)
Pennsylvania District 11- Lou Barletta (R)
Pennsylvania District 12- Mark Critz (D)
Pennsylvania District 13- Allyson Schwartz (D)
Pennsylvania District 14- Mike Doyle (D)
Pennsylvania District 15- Charles Dent (R)
Pennsylvania District 16- Joseph Pitts (R)
Pennsylvania District 17- Tim Holden (D)
Pennsylvania District 18- Tim Murphy (R)
Pennsylvania District 19- Todd Platts (R)

Rhode Island District 1- David Cicilline (D)
Rhode Island District 2- Jim Langevin (D)

South Carolina District 1- Tim Scott (R)
South Carolina District 2- Joe Wilson (R)
South Carolina District 3- Jeff Duncan (R)
South Carolina District 4- Trey Gowdy (R)
South Carolina District 5- Mich Mulvaney (R)
South Carolina District 6- Jim Clyburn (D)


South Dakota District 1- Kristi Noem (R)

Tennessee District 1- Phil Roe (R)
Tennessee District 2- John Duncan (R)
Tennessee District 3- Chuck Flieschmann
Tennessee District 4- Scott DeJarlais (R)
Tennessee District 5- Jim Cooper (D)
Tennessee District 6- Diane Black (R)
Tennessee District 7- Marsha Blackburn (R)
Tennessee District 8- Stephen Fincher (R)
Tennessee District 9- Steve Cohen (D)

Texas District 1- Louie Gohmert (R)
Texas District 2- Ted Poe (R)
Texas District 3- Sam Johnson (R)
Texas District 4- Ralph Hall (R)
Texas District 5- Jeb Hensarling (R)
Texas District 6- Joe Barton (R)
Texas District 7- John Culberson (R)
Texas District 8- Kevin Brady (R)
Texas District 9- Al Green (D)
Texas District 10- Michael McCaul (R)
Texas District 11- Mike Conaway (R)
Texas District 12- Kay Granger (R)
Texas District 13- Mac Thornberry (R)
Texas District 14- Ron Paul (R)
Texas District 15- Ruben Hinojosa (D)
Texas District 16-Silvestre Reyes (D)
Texas District 17- Bill Flores (R)
Texas District 18- Sheila Jackson Lee (D)
Texas District 19- Randy Neugebauer (R)
Texas District 20- Charlie Gonzalez (D)
Texas District 21- Lamar Smith (R)
Texas District 22- Pete Olsen (R)
Texas District 23- Lloyd Doggett (D)
Texas District 24- Kenny Marchant (R)
Texas District 25- Lloyd Doggett (D)
Texas District 26- Michael Burgess (R)
Texas District 27-
Texas District 28- Henry Cuellar (D)
Texas District 29- Gene Green (D)
Texas District 30- Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)
Texas District 31- John Carter (R)
Texas District 32- Pete Sessions (R)

Utah District 1- Rob Bishop (R)
Utah District 2- Jim Matheson (D)
Utah District 3- Jason Chaffetz (R)


Virginia District 1- Robert Wittman (R)
Virginia District 2- Scott Rigel (R)
Virginia District 3- Bobby Scott (D)
Virginia District 4- Randy Forbes (R)
Virginia District 5- Robert Hurt (R)
Virginia District 6- Bob Goodlatte (R)
Virginia District 7- Eric Cantor (R)
Virginia District 8- Jim Moran (D)
Virginia District 9- Morgan Griffith (R)
Virginia District 10- Frank Wolf (R)
Virginia District 11- Peter Welch (D)

Vermont District 1- Peter Welch (D)

Washington District 1- Jay Inslee (D)
Washington District 2-
Washington District 3- Jamie Herrera (R)
Washington District 4- Doc Hastings (R)
Washington District 5- Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
Washington District 6- Norm Dicks (D)
Washington District 7- Jim McDermott (D)
Washington District 8- Dave Reichert (R)
Washington District 9-

West Virginia District 1- David McKinley (R)
West Virginia District 2- Shelley Moore Capito (R)
West Virginia District 3- Nick Rahall (D)

Wisconsin District 1- Paul Ryan (R)
Wisconsin District 2- Tammy Baldwin (D)
Wisconsin District 3- Ron Kind (D)
Wisconsin District 4- Gwen Moore (D)
Wisconsin District 5- Jim Sensenbrenner (R)
Wisconsin District 6- Tom Petri (R)
Wisconsin District 7- Sean Duffy (R)
Wisconsin District 8- Reid Ribble (R)


Wyoming District 1- Cynthia Lummis (R)


House:

There are 435 House races. Democrats currently hold a 255-178 advantage over Republicans, with two vacancies (one held by each party).

The GOP needs to net 39 House seats to take control of the House of Representatives.

Senate:

There are 37 Senate races. Democrats currently hold a 57-41 advantage in this chamber, with both independents (Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders) caucusing with the Democrats.

The GOP needs to net 10 Senate seats to take control of the Senate.

Related:

Townhall- Election Center 2010 Live Results

House Results

Senate Results





Page #2- Senate Seats In Play
Page #3- Election Day 2010- Interesting Links
Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


(There have been changes made to this post)

.

Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging- Page 2 Senate Seats For Election

Page #1 is the all day blogging link.
Page#3 is Interesting Links on Election Day 2010

Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


Page #2 consists of the Senate seats up for election in the 2010 midterm elections, divided into two parts;

Incumbents Seeking Re-Election (23) and Retiring Senators (14)

Democratic Incumbents (12)

* Arkansas--Blanche Lincoln
* California--Barbara Boxer
* Colorado--Michael Bennet
* Hawaii--Daniel Inouye
* Maryland--Barbara Mikulski
* Nevada--Harry Reid
* New York--Chuck Schumer
* New York--Kirsten Gillibrand (special election)
* Oregon--Ron Wyden
* Vermont--Patrick Leahy
* Washington--Patty Murray
* Wisconsin--Russ Feingold

Republican Incumbents (11)

* Connecticut--Christopher Dodd
* Delaware--Ted Kaufman (special election)
* Illinois--Roland Burris
* Indiana--Evan Bayh
* North Dakota--Byron Dorgan
* Pennsylvania--Arlen Specter (defeated in primary)
* West Virginia--Carte Goodwin (special election)



Retiring Senators (14)

Retiring Democrats (7)

* Alabama--Richard Shelby
* Alaska--Lisa Murkowski (defeated in primary, running as write-in)
* Arizona--John McCain
* Georgia--Johnny Isakson
* Idaho--Mike Crapo
* Iowa--Chuck Grassley
* Louisiana--David Vitter
* North Carolina--Richard Burr
* Oklahoma--Tom Coburn
* South Carolina--Jim DeMint
* South Dakota--John Thune

Retiring Republicans (7)

* Florida--George LeMieux
* Kansas--Sam Brownback
* Kentucky--Jim Bunning
* Missouri--Kit Bond
* New Hampshire--Judd Gregg
* Ohio--George Voinovich
* Utah--Bob Bennett (defeated in primary)

Results state by state will be listed below, D/R + Name of winner will be listed next to the name of the state when results are in and final.

Numbers will be continuously updated until 100% of the votes are in

Alaska-

Alabama-Richard Shelby (R) 65% / William Barnes (D) 35% (Shelby )

Arkansas-John Boozman (R) 58% / Blanche Lincoln 37% (Boozman )

Arizona- John McCain (R) 59% / Rodney Glassman (D) 35% (McCain )

California- Barbara Boxer (D) 52% / Carly Fiorina (R) 42% (Boxer )

Colorado- Michael Bennett (D) 48% / Ken Buck (R) 47% (Bennett)

Connecticut- Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% / Linda McMahon (R) 44%( Blumenthal)

Delaware-Christopher Coons (D) 57% / Christine O'Donnell (R) 40% (Coons)

Florida- Marco Rubio (R) 49% / Charlie Crist (I) 30% / Kendrick Meek (D) 20% (Rubio)

Georgia- Johnny Isakson (R) 59% / Michael Thurmond (D) 39% (Isakson)

Hawaii- Daniel Inouye (D) 75% / Cam Cavasso (R) 22% (Inouye)

Iowa- Chuck Grassley (R) 65% / Roxanne Conlin (D) 33% (Grassley )

Idaho- Mike Crapo (R) 71% / Tom Sullivan 25% (Crapo )

Illinois- Mark Kirk (R) 48% / Alexi Giannoulias (D) 46% (Kirk )

Indiana- Dan Coats (R) 55% / Brad Ellsworth (D)40% (Coats )

Kansas- Jerry Moran (R) 70% / Lisa Johnston (D) 26% (Moran )

Kentucky- - Rand Paul (R) 56% / Jack Conway (D) 44% (Rand )

Louisiana- David Vitter (R) 57% / Charlie Melancon (D) 38% (Vitter )

Maryland- Barbara Mikulski (D) 62% / Eric Wargotz (R) 36% (Mikulski )

Missouri- Roy Blunt (R) 54% / Robin Carnahan (D) 31% (Blunt )

North Carolina- Richard Burr (R) 55% / Elaine Marshall (D) 43% (Burr )

North Dakota- John Hoeven (R) 76% / Tracy Potter (D) 22% (Hoeven )

New Hampshire- Kelly Ayotte (R) 60% / Paul Hodes (D) 36% (Ayotte )

Nevada- Harry Reid (D) 50% / Sharron Angle (R) 45% (Reid)

New York (Full term)- Charles Schumer (D) 66% / Jay Townsend (R) 33% (Schumer )

New York (Unexpired)- Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 61% / Joseph DioGuardi (R) 36% (Gillibrand )

Ohio- Rob Portman (R) 57% / Lee Fisher (D)39% (Portman )

Oklahoma- Tom Coburn (R) 71% / Jim Rogers (D) 26% (Coburn )

Oregon- Ron Wyden (D) 50% / Jim Huffman (R) 41% (Wyden )

Pennsylvania- Pat Toomey (R) 51% / Joe Sestak (D) 49% (Toomey )

South Carolina- Jim DeMint (R) 62% / Alvin Greene 28% ( DeMint )

South Dakota- John Thune (R)

Utah- Mike Lee (R) 62% / Sam Granato (D) 33% (Lee )

Vermont- Patrick Leahy (D) 64% / Len Britton 31% ( Leahy )

Washington- Patty Murray (D) 51% / Dino Rossi (R) 49% (Murray)

Wisconsin- Ron Johnson (R) 52% / Russ Feingold (D) 47% (Johnson )

West Virginia- Joe Manchin (D) 53% / John Raese (R) 43% (Manchin )



Related:

Townhall- Election Center 2010 Live Results

House Results

Senate Results


Page #1 is the all day blogging link.
Page#3 is Interesting Links on Election Day 2010

Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


.

Election Day 2010- Interesting Links

This is part of the all day blogging coverage of the midterm 2010 elections.

Page #1- Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging
Page #2- Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging- Senate Seats For Election
Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


This will be updated with links to interesting news stories surrounding election day all day, just as the live blogging election day 2010 results will be.

This will consist of links and some excerpts of interesting reading today in political news.

Right Pundits- Live chat all day for 2010 election coverage.

Hot Air will be listing results throughout the evening.

PJM is also live blogging- open thread all day.

The Politico- Election Day Live Updates.

Townhall- Election Center 2010 Live Results

House Results

Senate Results

Get the latest breaking midterm election results right here. We'll be updating this page throughout the day with highlights of all POLITICO's election day coverage. Also check out our House Races Live Blog, Senate Races Live Blog and Governors' Races Live Blog for breaking news. And this evening, get the latest midterm results with our 2010 election map.





Interesting Links:

Wall Street Journal
with "Pressure Builds on Obama to Shake Up Inner Circle."

Some high-level Democrats are calling for President Barack Obama to remake his inner circle or even fire top advisers in response to what many party strategists expect to be a decisive defeat on Tuesday.


Washington Post with "Democrats bracing for major losses."

Voters headed to precincts across the country Tuesday to cast their ballots in the pivotal 2010 midterm elections, with Democrats bracing for major losses in both chambers of Congress but hoping to hang on to their Senate majority.


Boston Globe with "Results may shrink president's agenda."

President Obama will reduce the scope of his legislative ambitions if Republicans seize control of the House today as is widely predicted, jettisoning proposals to control greenhouse gases and overhaul immigration laws in favor of more modest efforts such as improving education and highways, according to lawmakers, former White House officials, and political analysts.


The Politico with "Spin cycle: What will top Dems say?"

The polls aren’t even open yet, and countless contests are too close to call, but we already know what’s going to happen Wednesday morning.

Top Democrats — President Barack Obama, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Democratic National Committee Chairman Tim Kaine and others — will take stock of the damage, then grudgingly make their way to the cameras and say ... something.

They’ll be expected to offer some explanation for their defeats — and indeed, Obama is expected to take questions from reporters before he heads overseas at week's end, Democrats tell POLITICO. And they’ll have to signal quickly whether they’re going to be basically combative or basically conciliatory toward a Congress that’s shifted to the right. The new strategy might not be fully apparent for weeks or even months, but the initial response will offer clues as to what to expect.

Even with big swaths of the political landscape still up for grabs, it’s possible to sketch out where the Democratic message might go next — toward one of these four broad options:


Those four options are; It was a thumping , Message received, on to 2012, Denial, evasion, symbolism and Bring it on .

Read it all.

Wall Street Journal with "Why Obama Is No Roosevelt."

Roosevelt: 'Your government has unmistakable confidence in your ability to hear the worst without flinching and losing heart.'

Obama: We don't 'always think clearly when we're scared.'



Beltway Confidential with "Crazed Democrats in Virginia attack opponents, throw signs."

If you thought negative campaign ads were a problem in this election, perhaps you haven’t spent enough time in Virginia’s 5th district. This video depicts two men unleashing a string of racial epithets at members of Americans for Prosperity, who took the video. While flailing arms and shouting, the two also start yanking signs off of private property and throwing them aside, while saying, “This is public space. I pay taxpayer dollars while y’all to spread racism and bigotry.” See for yourself:


Video provided at link above.

Gallup with "Record Midterm Enthusiasm as Voters Head to Polls."

Americans' enthusiasm about voting exceeds the recent midterm election high set four years ago, with 50% of Americans and 53% of registered voters saying they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting in 2010.


Not going to bother with the [Update #1, 2] etc..... just going to add links as they come out.

Fox News with "Obama to Hold Post-election News Conference on Wednesday."

President Barack Obama will hold a postelection news conference
on Wednesday.

The White House said Tuesday that Obama will take reporters' questions Wednesday at 1 p.m. in the East Room.

It'll be the first chance for Obama to react to what are widely forecast to be major Democratic losses in the midterm elections, including the possible Republican capture of one or both houses of Congress.


NRO with "Harrah’s Bosses Put Squeeze on Employees to Vote in Pro-Reid Effort."

The Harrah’s employee who forwarded the emails asked not to be identified due to fear of reprisal. The employee said the pressure from upper management was “disturbing.”

“We were asked to talk to people individually to find out why they had not yet voted and to fill in these spreadsheets explaining why,” the employee said. “I did not feel comfortable doing that.”

“It put me in a very awkward position,” the employee added, saying the level of coordination between Harrah’s upper management, the culinary union, and the Reid campaign was “disgusting.”

Calls to Harrah’s management were not immediately returned. Jan Jones’ assistant said at 10:25 EST that she would attempt to track down an executive who could comment.

A spokesman with the Federal Election Commission declined to comment on the case, but encourages anyone who feels that an election-law violation has occurred to file a complaint with the commission. The rules governing communications between employers, labor bosses, and employees can be found here (pdf).



The Hill with "Cornyn: GOP would 'welcome' party switch by Joe Lieberman."

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) said Senate Republicans would "welcome" any Democrats who wish to switch parties and caucus with the GOP.

Cornyn, the head of Senate Republicans' campaign efforts, floated the possibility that the GOP might target Sen. Joe Lieberman (Conn.), an Independent who caucuses with Democrats, or another Democratic senator if Republicans come close to winning a majority but fall short.

"I think he votes like a Republican on those areas, and we would certainly welcome him or any other Democrat who wants to switch sides of the aisle and caucus with us," Cornyn said of Lieberman during an Election Day appearance on Fox News.

Washington Wire with "Coons Camp Expresses Turnout Worries."

In a noon email alert to supporters, Coons campaign manager Christy Gleason said close monitoring of voter turnout in the state’s 41 representative districts showed “lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with.”

To win, Mr. Coons will have to get heavy support from Democrats and independents in New Castle, the state’s most populous county. In the primary, Ms. O’Donnell drew heavy support from the state’s other two counties, Kent and Sussex, which skew more to the right.

The American Spectator- "The End of Blaming Bush."

Today's election is more about America's Left and Right, than Democrats and Republicans. And the Left's worst blow from it will be its inability to blame Bush for it. This time, nothing stands between the left and the public's verdict. Tomorrow that verdict will be clear. And with it will go the tiresome posture in which somehow they could be present at problems without ever being responsible for them.


More will be added as the day progresses.

.

This is part of the all day blogging coverage of the midterm 2010 elections.

Page #1- Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging
Page #2- Midterm Election Day 2010: All Day Blogging- Senate Seats For Election

Wake up America Cross Posted From Marston Chronicles- Our Final Predictions for Today's Elections


.

Monday, November 1, 2010

Final Polling Shows GOP Lead Widens To Unprecedented Proportions

Gallup

A few polling organizations have conducted their last round of polling before tomorrow's midterm election and according to Gallup there is a 15-point gap in favor of the Republican candidates among likely voters that is "unprecedented in Gallup polling and could result in the largest Republican margin in House voting in several generations."

The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans' voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to give them the majority in the U.S. House.

The results are from Gallup's Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot -- depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup's analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided.


White House Press Secretary previously stated that the midterm elections would be about "local issues" and not about Barack Obama. Obama told a crowd that he was not on the ballot but his agenda was, they were only partially right, in that Obama's actual name and specific legislation is not on the ballot, but a small plurality will still be casting their vote with his name and his agenda in mind, according to another Gallup poll.

"By 38% to 24%, Tuesday's voters are more likely to be using their vote for Congress to send a message that they oppose President Obama than to signal that they support him, while 37% say they will not be sending a message with their vote."



[...]

Given four factors to consider when choosing a congressional candidate, 41% of voters this year cite national issues, making them the top factor. Another 23% choose the character and experience of a candidate, 21% choose local and state issues, and 12% choose the candidate's political party.


Gallup's Bottom Line:

If Republicans win the majority in the U.S. House on Tuesday, 2010 will join 2006 and 1994 as the most recent elections in which power changed hands in Congress. In addition to the indication of strong Republican gains provided by the generic congressional ballot results, several broader voter attitudes point to an impending change of power:


More voters currently say their vote is a message against the sitting president rather than for him, a pattern also seen in 2006, but not in 2002 and 1998. This question was not asked in 1994.

Voters backing candidates from the minority party (currently Republicans) are more likely to say their vote is mainly a vote against the other party than are voters who are backing the majority party's candidates (currently Democrats). In 1994 and 2006, the winning party was the one more voters supported as a vote against the other party.

Voters are more likely to say the country will be better off with the Republicans in charge than the Democrats. In each of the last two midterms, 2006 and 2002, the party leading on this won the majority of U.S. House seats.


Public Policy Polling reports results fro Pennsylvania showing an "inordinate number of Democrats unhappy with Barack Obama- and voting Republican because of it."

Generally Republicans favor Republicans as Democrats favor Democrats and Independents who are known as swing voters make the difference, but with some Democrats planning to vote Republican as well, gains could be higher than previously projected for Republicans in the House.

Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows a majority of Swing Voters, 52 percent, stating they will vote Republican in tomorrow's elections.

One Democratic pollster, David Beattie, making it clear "This race is all about President Obama."

Further NBC News/Wall Street Journal results from their final polling push, states "a plurality of all registered voters say it would be a “good thing” if Republicans were in charge of both the U.S. House and U.S. Senate; and almost two-thirds — including about half of Democrats — want to see a significant amount of change in the way President Barack Obama has been leading the country."

Pew Research headlines with "GOP Likely to Capture Control of House," sub header states that "Record Republican Engagement Drives High Turnout Forecast."

Pew Research Center's final 2010 pre-election survey finds the Republican Party continuing to hold a solid lead in preferences for Tuesday's midterm elections. The poll, conducted Oct. 27-30 among 2,373 registered voters, including 1,809 voters considered the most likely to vote, shows that 48% of likely voters say they will vote for the Republican in their district, compared with 42% who favor the Democratic candidate.

These results suggest little trend in voter opinion nationwide and they track results of a Pew Research Center poll conducted two weeks ago. That survey found the GOP holding a 50%-to-40% lead among likely voters. This is the third consecutive poll since September finding a significant Republican lead among likely voters.


With the final polls out, results reported on and discussed heavily, The Politico reports that Democrats are now simply waiting to see how bad the losses are.

Now, for Democratic consultants and campaign officials who have plotted and strategized for months to preserve the embattled House majority, there’s nothing left to do but sit and wait for the expected horrors of Election Day to unfold.

There is nearly uniform consensus among Democratic campaign professionals that the House is gone — the only question, it seems, is how many seats they will lose.

While few will say so on the record for fear of alienating party officials or depressing turnout, every one of nearly a dozen Democratic House consultants and political strategists surveyed expect a GOP majority to be elected Tuesday — the consensus was that Democrats would lose somewhere between 50 and 60 seats.

A senior party consultant who was on the low end with his predictions said the party would lose between 40 and 50 seats. On the high end, one Democratic consultant said losses could number around 70 seats.

All spoke to the grimness of the mood.

“It sucks,” said Dave Beattie, a Florida-based Democratic pollster who is working on a slate of competitive House races and who acknowledges that the lower congressional chamber is lost. “I’m resigned to the fact that it sucks.”

While there was optimistic talk within party circles early this month that the electoral environment was improving for the party, the operatives said those conversations don’t take place anymore.

“If some Democratic consultant told you they are feeling better, they must have dropped some heavy drugs,” said a senior pollster who is working for candidates in competitive races. “It’s hard.”

Polls tell us Republicans are poised for massive gains and turnout is expected to be high, but the only thing that counts is the people that go to the polls and actually cast that vote tomorrow or that have already voted or sent in their ballot.

Independents and Republicans alike cannot sit back and just assume the GOP is going to win big, they cannot look at the projections and sit it out thinking someone else will do it, they must get out and vote.

I sent in my early ballot last week.... have you voted? If not, please vote tomorrow.

Send a message to Washington, they work for us and if they ignore us, disrespect us, we can and will fire them.

.
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...